Real shoots for more road success at Dallas

Soccer Betting Lines

07/16/2010 - Frisco, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Real Salt Lake forward Robbie Findley said after a recent win at the Chicago Fire one of our goals this year was to "improve on our road record."

Findley converted a penalty in the 1-0 win on July 8, helping Real win for the third time on the road already this season - a total it failed to reach in its last two MLS campaigns.

Now, the defending league champions return to action and visit twice-beaten FC Dallas on Saturday with another win - and the Los Angeles Galaxy - in sight.

Real captured the MLS crown last season despite going just 2-11-2 on the road, and has amassed the second-best mark in the league behind L.A. with three wins and a tie in seven road matches.

RSL (9-3-3) is six points behind the Galaxy - and have played one fewer game - entering the weekend trip to Pizza Hurt Park against Dallas (5-2-7).

"It's been something we've been working on. We didn't do too well [on the road last year] and it is one of our goals this year," Findley said. "So far we are doing the right things."

Findley, back from the World Cup with the U.S. national team, is joined on the field by three MLS All-Star First XI members in midfielders Kyle Beckerman and Javier Morales, and defender Jamison Olave.

In addition, Real Salt Lake goalie Nick Rimando has not allowed a goal in his last 498 minutes and posted five straight shutouts, putting the Utah side in strong position for the start of the second half of the season.

Rimando admitted the team's attitude has changed on the road, and that has led to better results.

"I think last couple of years we were happy with a point and if we don't get that point it's not a big deal," Rimando said. "Now it's we aren't happy with a point, we want three points.

"I think the confidence of winning early in the season really helps us out in these kinds of games."

FC Dallas settled for a 1-1 draw against Seattle Sounders FC in its last game, as it tied its league-high seventh game of the season. However, coach Schellas Hyndman has guided his side to third place in the Western Conference.

FC Dallas' only losses were to Red Bull New York and Los Angeles, which is the lone team to shut out the Texas club this season.

David Ferreira scored in the draw against Seattle and has become Hyndman's top attacking threat with four goals. Jeff Cunningham won the Golden Boot one year ago, but three of his four goals are from the penalty spot this season.

Real has allowed just four goals while scoring 24 during its 10-match unbeaten streak, so Dallas could find another shutout tough to avoid this weekend.

"It's a big one for me - I'll be honest. I have feelings about that club - I had been there so long. And every time I go back there's a little bit extra on the line," said Real coach Jason Kreis, who played with Dallas from 1996-2004.

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Sportsbooks to bet on football

Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.

He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.

"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.

He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.

Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.

Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.

Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.

Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.

With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.

Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).

And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)

The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.

While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.

Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.

One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.

Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.

What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.

That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.

MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.

"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.

"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."

So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.

In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.

MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.

The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.

Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.

MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.

To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.