02/08/2010 - Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Steve Stricker's victory on Sunday at the Northern Trust Open moved the American to second in this week's world rankings.
Tiger Woods remained in first, followed by Stricker, who was third last week and Phil Mickelson, who dropped to No. 3. Lee Westwood, a playoff loser in Dubai, stayed in fourth, with Jim Furyk rounding out the top five.
Martin Kaymer held on to sixth, while Rory McIlroy jumped up two spots to seventh. Paul Casey dipped one to eighth, Henrik Stenson climbed one to ninth and Padraig Harrington sank two slots to 10.
Ian Poulter, Geoff Ogilvy and Kenny Perry stood pat from last week. Robert Allenby and Sergio Garcia switched spots from last week with Allenby to 14th and Garcia in 15th.
Sean O'Hair was 16th and Ernie Els climbed three to No. 17. Robert Karlsson was 18th, followed by Ross Fisher and Retief Goosen.
<< Connecticut continues to top women's poll
New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Connecticut remained a unanimous choice as the
top-ranked team in women's college basketball, as the Associated Press
released its latest poll Monday.
The Huskies (23-0) enter the week with a 62-gam
<< Safina will skip Dubai
Moscow, Russia (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Former world No. 1 Dinara Safina will miss
next week's WTA Tour event in Dubai because of a back injury.
The currently world No. 2 star was forced to retire from her fourth-round
match at last month
<< Kansas still No. 1, Syracuse slides up to No. 2
New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Kansas remained the top team in the latest
Associated Press men's college basketball poll, while Syracuse moved up one
spot to No. 2.
The Jayhawks (22-1) regained the top spot last week after spending
<< Ovechkin heads NHL's Three Stars
New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Washington Capitals forwards Alex Ovechkin and
Nicklas Backstrom, along with newly minted Maple Leaf goaltender Jean
Sebastien Giguere, have been named the NHL's 'Three Stars' for the week ending
Februar
Clippers' Kaman to replace injured Roy in All-Star Game >>
New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Los Angeles Clippers center Chris Kaman
was named the replacement for injured Portland Trail Blazers guard Brandon Roy
Monday for the NBA All-Star Game to be held February 14 in Dallas.
Kaman, a sevent
Pacers' Foster to have season-ending back surgery >>
Indianapolis, IN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Indiana Pacers forward/center Jeff Foster
will undergo season-ending surgery for lower back pain following the All-Star
break.
Foster is expected to make a full recovery and participate in training camp
This Week in Golf - February 11th through February 14th >>
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - PGA TOUR - AT&T PEBBLE BEACH NATIONAL PRO-
AM, Pebble Beach Golf Links, Monterey Peninsula Country Club Shore Course,
Spyglass Hill Golf Course, Pebble Beach, California - It's one of most popular
eve
Brewers to honor Selig with statue >>
Milwaukee, WI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Milwaukee Brewers announced Monday that
they will honor former owner and current baseball commissioner Bud Selig with
a statue at Miller Park.
It will be the third statue built at Miller Park, joining
(This is an update of a sportsbook for the May 4th issue of ESPN The Magazine).
The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.
"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."
Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.
"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."
When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:
CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.
DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.
PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.
You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.
"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."
Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.
(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)
Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."
But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."
Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."
Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."
All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.
In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.
"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."
To visit this horse betting site go to MySportsbook.com for all your horse racing betting needs.
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